Forsyth Barr MST Access Research
Forsyth Barr MST Access Research delivers institutional quality research to investors and fund managers on small and microcap companies, leveraging intelligence and insight from the capabilities of both Forsyth Barr and MST Access. The research provided is issuer-sponsored.
Latest report
Harmoney
1H25 Result—Operational Leverage Overture
21 FEBRUARY 2025 BY JAMES LINDSAY AND WILL TWISS
Harmoney (HMY) reported a strong 1H25 result, underpinned by continued operational scalability and improving credit performance. Key highlights for 1H25 included: (1) a +50 bp sequential improvement in net interest margin (NIM) to 9.0%, now back within the targeted 9%–10% range and driven by new lending NIM at ~10%; (2) a -50 bps reduction in incurred credit losses versus 1H24 to 3.7% despite a soft economic backdrop; and (3) Stellare® 2.0 drove a +43% increase in Australian new customer originations, reinforcing its effectiveness in scaling loan volumes. These positives outweighed the weak NZ loan book performance (-6% on pcp). HMY is positioned to unlock operating leverage as its loan book expands, with newly introduced Cash NPAT guidance for FY25 (A$5m) and FY26 (A$10m+), reinforcing our near-term earnings expectations. We make minor amendments to our earnings forecasts and lift our spot valuation by +1% to A$1.30, representing 10.6x our revised FY26 Cash NPAT estimate.
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12 February 2025 | Tower Limited - Robust 1Q25 Trading Update at ASM
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10 February 2025 | ikeGPS - M&A Offer Undervalues Growth Potential
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07 February 2025 | Tower Limited - New Year, New Upgrade
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29 January 2025 | ikeGPS - 3Q25 Remains Powered-On
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29 November 2024 | Tower Limited - Exceptional FY24, Guidance Raised for FY25
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28 November 2024 | Rakon Limited - Amid Weak Core Markets, AI Sales Start Soon
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26 November 2024 | Radius Residential Care - Caring for the Core Metrics in a Solid 1H25
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22 November 2024 | ikeGPS - Pole-Powered Growth in 1H25
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21 November 2024 | Scott Technology - Two of Three Segments Shining—ASM Review
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12 November 2024 | NZME Limited - FY24 Guidance Downgraded, Plus Web Insights
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25 October 2024 | ikeGPS - 1H25 ARR Grows as Enterprise Wins Return
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18 October 2024 | Scott Technology - Needing More Meat on the Table
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17 October 2024 | Harmoney - Hitting the Right Notes — 1Q25 Trading Update
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24 November 2022 | Tower Limited - FY22 Guidance Beaten But One-offs Impact
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30 November 2022 | ikeGPS - Solid Momentum Shown in 1H23
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12 January 2023 | Tower Limited - New Zealand General Insurance Digest
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18 January 2023 | Trade Window Holdings - Capital Raising — Up to NZ$20m Being Sought
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8 February 2023 | ikeGSP - Powering Up During 3Q23
increase on the prior period.
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28 February 2023 | Trade Window Holdings - Capital Raising Falls Short of Expectations but Discussions Continue
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2 March 2023 | Trade Window Holdings - Coverage Discontinued
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8 March 2023 | Rakon Limited - Looking Beyond a Solid FY23 Guidance Update
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13 April 2023 | Scott Technology - 1H23 Results Reinforce ‘Scott 2025’ Strategy
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9 May 2023 | Tower Limited - Wild Weather Weighs but Growth Continues
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25 May 2023 | Rakon Limited - Robust FY23 Completed
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12 December 2023 | Rakon Limited - NZ$1.70 Per Share Offer Received
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22 February 2024 | NZME Limited - Turning the Page on a Challenging FY23
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29 February 2024 | NZME Limited Ad - Market Weakness Drives Newshub Closure
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25 March 2024 | Scott Technology - Leadership Transition Amid Continued Growth
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17 April 2024 | Scott Technology - Mixed 1H24 Amidst Transition
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18 April 2024 | Tower Limited - It's Raining Upgrades
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19 April 2024 | ikeGPS - Sales Cycle Turning Positive — 4Q24
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24 April 2024 | Rakon Limited - 5G Weakness Persisting, Inventory Stabilising?
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8 May 2024 | Scott Technology - Meat Sector Cyclicality Grinds On
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22 May 2024 | Turners Automotive Group Ltd - Switching Gears for FY28
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30 May 2024 | Rakon Limited - FY24 Result Cyclicality, Opportunities Grow
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12 June 2024 | Tower Limited - Calm Claims Help Elevate Profit Projections
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16 July 2024 | ikeGPS | Margin Strengthens in 1Q25
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31 July 2024 | NZME Limited - Editing Expectations
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07 August 2024 | Radius Residential Care - Positive 1Q25 Trading Update
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09 August 2024 | Tower Limited - Guidance Upgrades Galore
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26 August 2024 | Harmoney - FY24 — Good Progress in a Tough Market
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29 August 2024 | Rakon - 5G Challenges Roll On, Opportunities Remain
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24 September 2024 | Tower Limited - Positive FY25 Reinsurance Outcome
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14 October 2024 | Tower Limited - Sunnier Days and Good Management Deliver
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15 March 2021 | A Tower of Strength
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18 May 2021 | Hopes for FY21 Growth Go Up in Smoke
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27 May 2021 | Tower 1H21 Result
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14 June 2021 | Raining on Expectations
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2 November 2021 | Tidying up the Pacific
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11 November 2021 | Reassessing Flood and Climate Change Risks
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25 November 2021 | FY21 Simplifying the Story
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24 January 2022 | Hunga Tonga — Hunga Ha'apai
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3 February 2022 | Steady as She Goes - But Growing
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27 May 2022 | FY22 Record Result Awaits New Capacity
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10 June 2022 | The Front Line of Trade
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14 September 2022 | ikeGPS Group Ltd
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3 October 2022 | ikeGPS - Solid AGM Update Driven By Customer & USD Tailwinds
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19 October 2022 | ikeGPS - Exceptional Momentum Continues in 1H23
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21 November 2022 | Trade Window Holdings - 1H23 — Awaiting Offshore Growth Drivers
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25 November 2022 | Rakon Limited - Post Strong 1H23 Result, Outlook Softens
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16 January 2023 | Trade Window Holdings - Updated Guidance and Longer Term Outlook
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20 January 2023 | Scott Technology - Transforming Industry via Smart Automation
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20 February 2023 | Tower Limited - FY23 Estimates Flooded, but the Inflationary Environment Continues in Higher GWP Growth
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1 March 2023 | Tower Limited - 1Q23 and ASM Updates
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8 March 2023 | Turners Automotive Group Ltd - Fueling Growth Despite Headwinds
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5 April 2023 | Tower Limited Edition 3 — NZ General Insurance Digest
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5 May 2023 | ikeGPS - Solid 4Q23 Update as FY23 Electrifies
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24 May 2023 | Turners Automotive Group Ltd - Brand Momentum Drives Market Share Growth
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31 May 2023 | ikeGPS Operating Leverage Emerges on Stellar Topline
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18 July 2023 | Rakon Limited - Demand and Inventory Led Softness Continues
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20 July 2023 | Tower Limited - Claims Inflation Steals Wild Weather's Thunder
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27 July 2023 | ikeGPS - Transactions Stumble while Subscriptions Surge
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4 August 2023 | MHM Automation - Automation and Materials Handling Go Global
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24 August 2023 | Turners Automotive Group Ltd - Core Auto Retailing Continues to Drive Results
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31 August 2023 | MHM Automation - Unpacking the Wyma Acquisition and MHM's Solid Organic Growth Story
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29 September 2023 | Tower Limited - Successful FY24 Reinsurance Placement
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2 October 2023 | ikeGPS - Key Customer Transactional Delays Continue
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11 October 2023 | Turners Automotive Group Ltd Speeding to Record Profits in 1H24
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17 October 2023 | Tower Limited - FY23 Updated for Final Large Event Costs
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19 October 2023 | Scott Technology - FY23 Result — Core Growth
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26 October 2023 | ikeGPS 1H24 Trading Update — Transactional Delays
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30 October 2023 | Rakon Limited - Telecoms Weakness Persists
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6 November 2023 | Scott Technology - MHM Takeover Crystallises Value
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6 November 2023 | MHM Automation - Scheme Implementation Agreement Signed
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9 November 2023 | NZME Limited - Navigating Media's Digital Wave
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15 November 2023 | Tower Limited - Customer Remediation Process Update
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24 November 2023 | Rakon Limited - 1H24 — Sector Weakness Deepens
considerably.
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24 November 2023 | Tower Limited - Goodbye FY23 Floods, Hello FY24
and large events claims costs.
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23 November 2023 | Turners Automotive Group Ltd - Steering Through 1H24 Drives Growth
growth in revenue and profitability.
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30 November 2023 | ikeGPS 1H24 Transactional Revenue Weakness
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16 November 2023 | NZME Limited - Investor Day Highlights—2023
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22 December 2023 | ikeGPS Top US Utility Signs on in PoleForeman Deal
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9 February 2024 | ikeGPS Subscriptions Power On as Transactions Dim
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26 January 2024 | Rakon Limited MercuryX™ and the AI Hardware Revolution
satellite applications...
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13 February 2024 | Turners Automotive Group Ltd - Motoring Towards Another Record Result
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15 February 2024 | Tower Limited - Clear Sky at Night, Tower's Delight
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20 February 2024 | Harmoney - The Sweet Sound of Operational Leverage
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22 February 2024 | MHM Automation - Cessation of Coverage on Pending Delisting
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22 February 2024 | Tower Limited - ASM Positively Surprises
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26 February 2024 | Harmoney - Tuning up the Efficiency in 1H24
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14 March 2024 | Scott Technology - Rocklabs' New Auckland Site Grand Opening
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12 April 2024 | Tower Limited - Benign is Divine
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1 May 2024 | Harmoney - Stellare® 2.0 Efficiency Offsets Slower Growth
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16 May 2024 | Rakon Limited - Launching into the LEO NewSpace Market
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29 May 2024 | Tower Limited - Event-Less 1H24 Sees Earnings Jump
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31 May 2024 | ikeGPS FY24 Result Held Back, On Pole for FY25
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30 June 2024 | Radius Residential Care - Aged Care Focus Drives Superior Returns
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20 June 2024 | Radius Residential Care | Aged Care Focus Drives Superior Returns
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29 July 2024 | ikeGPS - Transactions Back on the Map
the next 36 months.
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28 August 2024 | NZME Limited - Displaying Progress With 1H24 Result
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09 September 2024 | Tower Limited - Strategic Progress on Multiple Fronts
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30 September 2024 | ikeGPS - ASM Commentary Lowers FY25 Growth Target
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23 September 2021 | New Guidance on the Journey
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17 December 2021 | Stars Align
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3 February 2022 | Sector and 5G Market Updated
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11 February 2022 | Shooting for the Stars
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27 May 2022 | 1H22 Growth Upset by Large Events
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12 August 2022 | 2022 ASM - Initial FY23 Guidance Impresses
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3 October 2022 | Tower Limited - FY23 Reinsurance Programme Update
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5 October 2022 | Tower Limited - New Zealand General Insurance Digest
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31 October 2022 | Trade Window Holdings - US Footprint and Key Partner Announced
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8 February 2023 | Turners Automotive Group Ltd - Driving in the Right Direction
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20 June 2023 | Rakon Limited - New Indian Plant Opens Opportunities
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4 July 2023 | Tower Limited - Tidy Up Continues With Solomon Islands Sale
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These publications are general in nature and should not be regarded as personalised investment advice. For personalised financial advice contact your Forsyth Barr Investment Adviser.